Thursday, July 8, 2021

Supervisor and County Clerk Primary - Greenburgh Breakdown

 We have the final election district totals from the June Democratic primary.  

I.  SUPERVISOR







II.  COUNTY CLERK



















Definitions:

Hartsdale: Elections Districts: 41-46 36-41, 56, 57, 66, 71, 72, 75
Fairview:  42, 44-46, 61, 63, 64, 78
Ardsley school district - TOV: 32, 43, 50, 62, 73
Pocantico Hills/ Valhalla school districts:  29, 68/  47, 48, 67
Elmsford school disrict TOV:  51, 77, 81
E. Tarrytown 30 /  East Irvington  31

Rivertowns:  Hastings, Dobbs Ferry, Irvington, Tarrytown
North Greenburgh, Elmford village & TOV school district, Fairview, Pocantico Hills & Valhalla school district, east Tarrytown and East Irvington
South Greenbugh:  Hartsdale, Ardsley village and TOV school district, Edgemont. 

Unlike the Greenburgh Democratic Party, I include High Point (ED 41) as part of Hartsdale


NOTES:   I don't have a lot to add here. Feiner was dominant (57%+) in every section of the town except tiny Elmsford village (where Tasha grew up) and Edgemont which produced its kneejerk anti-Paul vote but seemed barely invested in the race. Despite the loss in Edgemont, Feiner enjoyed his strongest showing in TOV in his four 21st century primaries (yes, we measure Paul's electoral success in centuries).  It's hard to look at these four primaries - especially the last two - and not come away with the conclusion that Feiner is as close to unbeatable in Greenburgh as any candidate could ever be. Sure, an ideal candidate with perfect timing could upset him, but aspiring politicians are real people and the Skrulls haven't yet sent a Superhero-Supervisor candidate.  

The noticeable gap between the Supervisor and County Clerk's breakdowns arises from the "north Greenburgh" numbers where Feiner flipped Idoni's results in his favor.  Idoni is about as generic an older, white, male incumbent Democrat as could exist and his stumble against Shanae Williams in Greenburgh's neighborhoods with the highest rates of minioirty voters is not a shock. Idoni's problems in north Greenburgh serve to highlight Feiner's remarkable identity-proof popularity among Democratic primary voters all over Greenburgh (except for Edgemont with its very localized reasons for opposition).  As far as the difference in the north Greenburgh performances of Williams and Young, I think that has more to do with their opponents (i.e., Paul's strength) than anything really substantive that distinguishes the two losing candidates from each other.    

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