Tuesday, January 7, 2014

Looking at the numbers: the 2013 Primary Breakdown

VILLAGE
VOTING DIST.
TOTAL
BERNST
%
FEINER
%
FEINER % in 2007
FEINER % in 2005
TARRYTOWN
1-7, 55, 74, 76
404
   79
20%
     321
79%
       78%
     57%
IRVINGTON
8-11, 60, 79
302
  45
15%
     256
85%
       68%
     41%
DOBBS FERRY
12-17, 58, 65. 80
380
106
28%
     272
72%
       70%
     54%
HASTINGS
18-23, 52, 59
664
102
15%
     558
84%
       78%
     52%
ARDSLEY
24, 25, 53, 54
293
102
35%
    188
64%
       56%
     31%
ELMSFORD
26-28
122
  40
33%
      80
67%
       61%
     68%
2013 TOTALS

2165
474
22%
  1675
77%
       71%
     49%











UG SCHOOL DIST
VOTING DIST.
TOTAL
BERNST.
%
FEINER
%
FEINER % in 2007
FEINER % in 2005
EDGEMONT SD
33-35, 49, 69, 70
868
678
78%
   187
22%
    43%
    34%
HARTSDALE GC
36-41, 56, 57, 66, 71, 72, 75
867
296
34%
   561
65%
    60%
    51%
FAIRVIEW GC
42, 44-46, 61, 63, 64, 78
932
329
35%
   593
64%
    63%
    58%
POCANTICO SD
29, 68
 75
  36
48%
     36
48%
     61%
    58%
VALHALLA SD
47, 48, 67
283
  62
22%
   215
76%
     71%
    64%
ARDSLEY SD (outside village)
32, 43, 50, 62
389
113
29%
   274
70%
     68%
    55%
ELMSFORD SD (outside village)
51, 77, 81
226
 79
35%
   143
63%
     59%
    55%
TARRY/ELM MIX
30
  65
  26
40%
     39
60%
     59%
    73%
IRV/ELM MIX
31
  62
  12
19%
     50
81%
     66%
    60%
ARD/HASTING
73
101
  27
27%
     74
73%
     64%

















2013 UNINC. TOTAL

3878
1668
43%
  2172
56%
     60%
    52%










2013 (BERNSTEIN V. FEINER)

6043
2142
35%
  3847
64%
     
    









2007 (BERGER V. FEINER) 

6683
2192
33%
  4315
65% 

2005 (GREENAWALT             5872    2786     47%   2983   51%                         V. FEINER) Random Observations: Notice how Feiner increased his percentage of the vote in each sizeable community over 2007 (with the glaring exception of Edgemont). Concomitantly, Berger outperformed Bernstein everywhere except Edgemont and the small Pocantico Hills school district precincts. Also note Feiner's dramatic increase in popularity in Irvington and Ardsley villages since 2005. Feiner performed poorly in the villages in 2005 agasinst Bill Greenawalt, but now they are now the bedrock of his support, handing him staggering numbers. The incumbant's increasing strength in Hartsdale (defined here as the Greenburgh Central School district 10530 zip code neighborhoods) is also significant in light of the fact real estate values in Hartsdale have lagged far behind the villages and Edgemont, giving Hartsdale residents particular justification to gripe about taxes and punish officeholders. Feiner paid no attention to Hartsdale-specific issues during the summer campaign, but at the same time Bernstein clearly failed to make any headway in tapping this large resevoir of potentially disaffected voters, where - as we'll see in the next post - Rob Astorino's anti-tax message fared quite well. Four EDs that Berger won that Bernstein lost: ED 11 (s.w. Irvington); ED38 (Hartsdale college corners); ED53 (Arsdley village); ED56 (Hartsdale: essentially Stone Oaks condos)

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