Town of Greenburgh active COVID cases as reported by Westchester County have tumbled to levels last seen in early October
As of May 25, there were 29 active cases in unincorporated Greenburgh and 33 in the six villages.
Source https://wcgis.maps.arcgis.com/apps/dashboards/280339d96db14efd9cc304dba0f3a71d
Vaccination rates show a more complex story of slowing and disparate progress:
These are "Greater Greenburgh" numbers (10583 includes Scarsdale, 10591 includes Sleepy Hollow, 10595, 10603, and 10607 include adjacent neighborhoods outside Greenburgh), but as I offered previously, Greater Greenburgh total rates likely don't distort actual Town of Greenburgh vaccination numbers. The totally vaccinated population increased from 47% to 50% from May 9 through May 17. We're seeing progress right? It's hard to say: 12 to 15 year olds became eligible for vaccination on May 13 in New York. One might expect to see an increase in first shot vaccination rates as a result. However, with this data purportedly covering through May 17, this data release may have come too soon to reflect the impact of the newly eligible age group.
The concerning indicator is the number of residents who have their first shot only (J&J's one shot vaccination is practically irrelevant as only 112 Greater Greenburgh got the J&J from 5/9 - 5/17 - a large drop from the already minuscule number of 225 who got the J&J between 5/2 and 5/9). Disappointingly, the number of first shot only residents decreased to 9,776 as 5/17 from 11,133 as of 5/9. Simply, the pace of residents getting vaccinations appears to be slowing. Not a big deal you say?
If we hope to reach herd immunity rates townwide, we'll need to pick up the pace. Even if all "one shot only" residents got vaccinated tomorrow, townwide we'd be at only 56%, with Elmsford and Valhalla well short of even 50%. Valhalla is starting to look like a vaccination refusal problem and now we have a drop off in the Dobbs Ferry pace to monitor.
And, as shown below, the first shot decrease rate is not evenly distributed. Wealthy Scarsdale and Hastings actually saw first shot only numbers increase from May 9 to May 17 - a possible indication of parents getting their teens vaccinated in advance of summer programs?
Maybe it's a one-time blip and will be self-correcting as more teens get shots, but the "first shot only" decline and the persistent disparities in vaccination rates between zip codes demands attention and even accountability.
May 9 to May 17
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